Riaan Inothi Lomhleli: Inothi Lomhleli: Inguqulo yale ndaba ivele encwadini yezindaba ye-CNN Khonamanjalo e-China, isibuyekezo esiphuma kathathu ngeviki esihlola okudingeka ukwazi mayelana nokukhula kwezwe nokuthi kuwuthinta kanjani umhlaba. Bhalisa lapha.
i-Hong Kong
CNN
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Inqubomgomo yaseChina eyi-zero-Covid, eyamisa umnotho wesibili ngobukhulu emhlabeni futhi yavusa igagasi elingakaze libonwe ngaphambili. imibhikishomanje iyadilizwa njengoba iBeijing ikhishwe ngoLwesithathu izibuyekezo ezishanela ezinyathelweni zayo ezinzima ezigcine zihlulekile ukuletha leli gciwane esithendeni.
Imihlahlandlela emisha igcina imikhawulo ethile isendaweni kodwa ikakhulukazi ichitha ikhodi yezempilo ye-QR ebiphoqelekile ukuthi ingene ezindaweni eziningi zomphakathi bese ibuyisela emuva ukuhlolwa kwenqwaba. Baphinde bavumele amacala athile e-Covid-19 kanye noxhumana nabo abasondelene ukuthi beqe ukuvalelwa endaweni eyodwa.
Ziza ngemuva kwenqwaba yamadolobha ezinsukwini zakamuva waqala ukuphakamisa ezinye zezilawuli ezinokhahlo ezabeka – futhi ezikhawulele kakhulu – impilo yansuku zonke cishe iminyaka emithathu e-China.
Kepha ngenkathi izinguquko ziphawula ushintsho olukhulu – futhi ziletha impumuzo kwabaningi emphakathini asebekhule bekhungatheka kakhulu izindleko eziphezulu kanye nezimfuno ye-zero-Covid – elinye iqiniso licacile: I-China ayikulungele ukuhlinzwa ezimeni engase ibone manje.
Nokho ongoti bathi kuningi okungakaziwa ukuthi amasonto nezinyanga ezizayo zizoqhubeka kanjani, China selwehlile emalungiselelweni afana nokuqinisa izinga lokugoma asebekhulile, ukukhuphula izinga lokuhlinza kanye nomthamo wokunakekelwa okujulile ezibhedlela, kanye nokuqongelela imithi elwa namagciwane.
Yize okuhlukile kwe-Omicron kuthambile kunezinhlobo zangaphambilini futhi izinga lokugoma laseChina liphezulu, ngisho nenani elincane lamacala abucayi phakathi kwamaqembu asengozini nalawo angagonyelwe kangako njengabantu asebekhulile lingagcwala izibhedlela uma izifo zenyuka ezweni lonke eziyizigidi eziyizinkulungwane eziyi-1.4, kusho ochwepheshe.
“Lena yinkinga ezayo – isikhathi sibi impela … I-China manje sekufanele ixegise izindlela zayo eziningi ebusika (obugcwele inkathi yomkhuhlane), ukuze lokho bekungahleliwe,” kusho uXi Chen, uprofesa ohlangene eYale. ISikole Sezempilo Yomphakathi e-United States, sikhomba lokho okungenzeka kube ukusheshisa ekuguqukeni kweChina, okubangelwa ukunganeliseki komphakathi.
I imihlahlandlela ikhishwe ngoLwesithathu vula isahluko esisha ekulawuleni ubhubhane lwezwe, eminyakeni emithathu ngemuva kokutholwa kwamacala e-Covid-19 okokuqala enkabeni ye-Wuhan yaseChina nokulandela imibhikisho ngokumelene nenqubomgomo ye-zero-Covid ezweni lonke ngasekupheleni kwenyanga edlule.
Lapho i-China yake yalawula amacala ngokudinga ukuhlolwa kanye namakhodi ezempilo acacile ukuze angene ezindaweni eziningi zomphakathi kanye nohambo lwasekhaya, lawo makhodi ngeke esabhekwa ngaphandle kwasezindaweni ezimbalwa ezifana nezikhungo zezokwelapha nezikole. Ukuhlolwa kwenqwaba manje kuzobuyiselwa emuva kuwo wonke umuntu ngaphandle kwalabo abasezindaweni ezisengozini enkulu kanye nezikhundla ezisengozini enkulu. Abantu abahlolelwa ukuthi bane-Covid-19 kodwa abanamacala athambile noma asymptomatic futhi abahlangabezana nezimo ezithile bangahlaliswa bodwa ekhaya, esikhundleni sokuphoqeleka ukuthi baye ezikhungweni ezihlala zodwa, njengoba kungavala abathintwayo.
Izindawo ezichazwe yiziphathimandla ngokuthi “ziyingozi enkulu” zisengavalwa, kepha lokhu kuvalwa kwezindawo manje kumele kube nomkhawulo futhi kucace kakhudlwana, ngokweziqondiso ezintsha, ezasakazwa abezindaba zezwe laseChina.
Izinguquko ziphawula ubuso obusheshayo, kulandela ukwanda kokunganeliseki komphakathi, izindleko zomnotho kanye nezinombolo zamacala aqoshiwe emasontweni adlule. Bafika emva kwe-a isikhulu esiphezulu ngesonto eledlule kuqale kwasayina ukuthi izwe lingasuka kumgomo we-zero-Covid obekunesikhathi eside lithululela kuwo izinsiza ezibalulekile – yize esinye isikhulu ngoLwesithathu sithe lezi zinyathelo “beziwukwenza kahle izinto,” hhayi “okusebenzayo,” lapho sibuzwa esithangamini nabezindaba.
“Izwe laseChina lilandele le nqubomgomo isikhathi eside, manje seliphakathi kwedwala nendawo enzima,” kusho uWilliam Schaffner, uprofesa wezifo ezithathelanayo eVanderbilt University Medical Center e-US. “Abasenazo izindlela ezinhle kuzo zombili izinhlangothi. Babethembe ngempela ukuthi lolu bhubhane luzohamba emhlabeni wonke, futhi bangaphila ngaphandle komthelela. Futhi lokho akukenzeki.”
Njengoba imingcele ixegiselwa, futhi leli gciwane lisabalala ezweni lonke, iChina “kuzodingeka idlule enkathini yobuhlungu mayelana nokugula, ukugula okunzima, ukufa kanye nengcindezi ohlelweni lokunakekelwa kwezempilo” njengoba kubonakala kwenye indawo emhlabeni. ekuqaleni kwalolu bhubhane, wengeza.
Selokhu kwaqala umkhankaso wokugoma emhlabeni wonke kanye nokuvela kokwehluka kwe-Omicron, ochwepheshe bezempilo babuze owaseChina ukubambelela ku-zero-Covid futhi wabonisa ukungasimami kwesuezame ukusebenzisa ukuhlolwa kwabantu abaningi kanye nokugada, ukuvala izivalo kanye nezindawo zokuhlala zodwa ukuze kunqandwe igciwane elitheleleka kakhulu.
Kepha njengoba eminye imikhawulo isuswa, kulokho okubonakala kuwuguquko oluzenzekile kulandela iminyaka yokugxila ekulawuleni ngokucophelela leli gciwane, ochwepheshe bathi kungenzeka kube noshintsho ngaphambi kokuthi iChina yenze amalungiselelo izikhulu zayo zezempilo ezivume ukuthi ayadingeka.
“Ubhubhane olungalawuleki (oluba umfutho kuphela lapho igciwane liqala ukuphela kubantu abazolithelela)… luzoletha izinselelo ezinkulu ohlelweni lokunakekelwa kwezempilo, hhayi kuphela mayelana nokuphatha ingxenye encane yamacala e-Covid anzima, kodwa futhi ‘umonakalo oyisibambiso’ kubantu abanezinye izimo zezempilo ababambezele ukunakekelwa ngenxa yalokho,” kusho uBen Cowling, uprofesa wezifo eziwumshayabhuqe eNyuvesi yaseHong Kong.
Kepha noma kuncishiswa imingcele, uCowling uthe, “kunzima ukubikezela” ukuthi izifo zizosakazeka ngokushesha kangakanani nakuba iChina, ngoba kusenezinyathelo ezithile ezikhona futhi abanye abantu bazoshintsha ukuziphatha kwabo – njengokuhlala ekhaya kaningi.
“Futhi ngeke ngikuhoxise ukuthi kungenzeka kubuyiswe izinyathelo eziqinile ukulwa namacala akhulayo,” kusho yena.
Ochwepheshe bayavuma ukuthi ukuvumela leli gciwane ukuthi lisabalale kuzwelonke kungaba wushintsho olukhulu ezweni kuze kube manje selibike ngokusemthethweni ukuthi bangu-5,235 19 ababulawa yi-Covid-19 kusukela ekuqaleni kuka-2020 – okuyisibalo esiphansi uma kuqhathaniswa emhlabeni wonke obekuyinto yokuziqhenya eChina, lapho. abezindaba zombuso kuze kube muva nje bamemezele ubungozi begciwane emphakathini.
Ukumodela okuvela kubacwaningi base-Shanghai’s Fudan University eshicilelwe ephephabhukwini i-Nature Medicine ngoMeyi labikezela ukuthi amaShayina angaphezu kwezigidi eziyi-1.5 angafa zingakapheli izinyanga eziyisithupha uma imingcele ye-Covid-19 isuswa futhi kungekho mithi elwa namagciwane, evunyelwe eChina.
Kodwa-ke, izinga lokufa lingehla lifinyelele emazingeni omkhuhlane wesizini, uma cishe bonke abantu asebekhulile begonyiwe futhi imishanguzo elwa namagciwane isetshenziswa kabanzi, kusho ababhali.
Ngenyanga edlule, i-China ikhiphe uhlu lwezinyathelo zokuqinisa izinhlelo zezempilo ezimelene ne-Covid-19, okuhlanganisa imiyalelo yokwandisa ukugoma kwabadala, ukuqoqa imithi elwa namagciwane kanye nemishini yezokwelapha, nokwandisa umthamo wokunakekelwa okubucayi – imizamo ochwepheshe abathi ithatha isikhathi futhi ihamba phambili. kwenziwe ngaphambi kokuqubuka kwesifo.
“(Ingabe i-China isilungile?) Uma ubheka umthamo wokuhlinza eminyakeni emithathu phambili kanye nokuqoqwa kwezidambisigciwane ezisebenzayo – cha. Uma ukhuluma ngezinqubo zokuqulwa kwecala – aziphoqelelwa ngokuqinile – futhi uma ukhuluma ngezinga lokugoma abantu abadala, ikakhulukazi labo abaneminyaka engama-80 nangaphezulu, futhi cha, “kusho uYanzhong Huang, isikhulu esiphezulu kwezempilo emhlabeni. eMkhandlwini Wezobudlelwano Nangaphandle eNew York.
Iziphathimandla zaseChina, wengeza, zizocubungula imiphumela efana nenani lokufa ukuze zinqume izinyathelo zenqubomgomo eziya phambili.
I-US okungenani inemibhede yokunakekelwa okubucayi engama-25 kubantu abayi-100,000, ngokuvumelana ne i-Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development – ngokuphambene, iChina ingaphansi kwezine ngenani elifanayo, kusho iziphathimandla zezempilo lapho ngenyanga edlule.
Lolu hlelo luphinde lunikeze ukunakekelwa okuyisisekelo okulinganiselwe, okungase kuqhubekisele ngisho nabantu abagulayo ezibhedlela esikhundleni sokubiza udokotela womndeni – okufaka ubunzima ezibhedlela, ngokusho kukaYale’s Chen.
Khonamanjalo, ingqalasizinda yezokwelapha ebuthakathaka ezindaweni zasemakhaya ingadala izinkinga lapho, ikakhulukazi njengoba ukuhlolwa kuncipha futhi abantu abasha abahlala emadolobheni babuyela emadolobheni asemaphandleni ukuyovakashela amalungu omndeni asebekhulile ngoNyaka Omusha WamaLunar ngenyanga ezayo, esho.
Ngenkathi izinga lokugoma laseChina liphezulu, abantu abadala bakhona nabo abavikelekile kangako kunakwezinye izingxenye zomhlaba, lapho abadala nabasengozini enkulu yokufa ngenxa ye-Covid-19 babekwa phambili ekugomeni. Amanye amazwe asevele ekhiphe imithamo yesine noma yesihlanu emaqenjini asengozini.
Ngokwezibalo zaseChina, bangaphezu kwama-86% abantu bakhona abaneminyaka engaphezu kuka-60 abagonywe ngokugcwele, ngokusho kweKhomishini Yezempilo Kazwelonke YaseChina, futhi amazinga akhuthazayo aphansi, kanti abantu abadala abangaphezu kwezigidi ezingama-45 abagonywe ngokugcwele basazophinde bathole isibhamu. Cishe abantu asebekhulile ababalelwa ezigidini ezingama-25 abakaze badutshulwe, ngokusho kokuqhathaniswa kwezibalo zabantu abasemthethweni kanye nedatha yokugoma yangoDisemba 1.
Eqenjini elisengozini enkulu engaphezu kweminyaka engama-80, cishe izingxenye ezimbili kwezintathu zigonywe ngokugcwele ngezindinganiso zaseChina, kodwa bangama-40% kuphela abathole isibhamu esikhuthazayo kusukela ngoDisemba 1, ngokusho kwedatha esemthethweni.
Kepha ngenkathi iChina ibhekisa kumithamo yesithathu yemithi yayo yokugoma esetshenziswa kabanzi njengezibhamu ezikhuthazayo, iqembu eliluleka ngokugomela iWorld Health Organization (WHO) ngonyaka odlule lincome ukuthi abantu abadala abathatha leyo mithi yokugoma bathole imithamo emithathu esifundweni sabo sokuqala ukuze baqinisekise ukuvikelwa okwanele.
Imithi yokugoma engasebenzi esetshenziswa e-China itholwe iveza amazinga aphansi okusabela kwe-antibody uma iqhathaniswa neminye esetshenziswa phesheya kwezilwandle, futhi amazwe amaningi asebenzisa imithamo ayihlanganise nemithi yokugomela i-mRNA evikela kakhulu, i-China engazange ivume ukuthi isetshenziswe.
UCowling uthe ubufakazi bokuqubuka kokuqubuka kweHong Kong, nokho, bukhombisa umuthi wokugomela waseChina ongasetshenziswa kuleli dolobha usebenze kahle ukuvikela izifo ezinzima, kodwa kubalulekile ukuthi abantu abadala bathole imithamo emithathu esifundweni sokuqala, njengoba kunconywe yi-WHO. Kufanele-ke basebenzise umthamo wesine phezu kwalokho ukugcina ukungatheleleki kuphezulu, wengeza.
Izikhulu zezempilo eziphezulu ngoNovemba 28 zimemezele uhlelo olusha lokuqinisa amanani okugoma asebekhulile, kodwa lezi zinyathelo zizothatha isikhathi, njengoba kuzothatha isikhathi namanye amalungiselelo okuhlinzwa.
Ukunciphisa imiphumela emibi kakhulu ekuguqukeni kwe-zero-Covid kuncike kulokho kulungiselelwa, ngokusho kukaCowling. Ngokwalowo mbono, uthe, “akubukeki sengathi kungaba yisikhathi esihle sokuxegisa imigomo.”
