Riaan 
Abantu baseNingizimu Afrika bangabonga ukucishwa kukagesi ngokunye ukuhlehla. I-Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) yehle kakhulu yafinyelela kumaphuzu ezinkomba angama-48.8 ngoFebhuwari isuka ku-53.0 ngoJanuwari, okokuqala ngqa kusukela ngoSepthemba 2022 lapho inkomba yezihloko zehle ngaphansi kwamaphuzu angama-50 angathathi hlangothi. I-PMI iyinkomba yezimo zebhizinisi emkhakheni wezokukhiqiza waseNingizimu Afrika. Lokhu kukhomba ukuwohloka okukhulu kwezimo zamabhizinisi emkhakheni wefemu, kusho uMiyelani Maluleke, isazi sezomnotho kwa-Absa CIB. “Isikhathi senhlolovo yangoFebhuwari besihlanganisa izinsuku eziyisikhombisa ezilandelanayo zokucishwa kukagesi kwesigaba 6, okungenzeka kube yinto exakile kwabaphendula abaningi.” Yena…
Abantu baseNingizimu Afrika bangabonga ukucishwa kukagesi ngokunye ukuhlehla. I-Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) yehle kakhulu yafinyelela kumaphuzu ezinkomba angama-48.8 ngoFebhuwari isuka ku-53.0 ngoJanuwari, okokuqala ngqa kusukela ngoSepthemba 2022 lapho inkomba yezihloko zehle ngaphansi kwamaphuzu angama-50 angathathi hlangothi.
I-PMI iyinkomba yezimo zebhizinisi emkhakheni wezokukhiqiza waseNingizimu Afrika.
Lokhu kukhomba ukuwohloka okukhulu kwezimo zamabhizinisi emkhakheni wefemu, kusho uMiyelani Maluleke, isazi sezomnotho kwa-Absa CIB. “Isikhathi senhlolovo yangoFebhuwari besihlanganisa izinsuku eziyisikhombisa ezilandelanayo zokucishwa kukagesi kwesigaba 6, okungenzeka kube yinto exakile kwabaphendula abaningi.”
Uthe ukucishwa kukagesi kuphinde kwavela kaningi emibhalweni lapho abaphendulile bechaza ukuthi kungani umsebenzi wehlile uma kuqhathaniswa nenyanga edlule.
“Inhlansi yezindaba ezinhle ukuthi ukuthengiswa kwamanye amazwe kukhuphuke kwafinyelela ezingeni elingcono kakhulu ngonyaka, okusho ukuthi abakhiqizi abahlinzeka ngemakethe yasekhaya kuphela kungenzeka babe nenyanga enzima, kodwa izinkomba zokuqashwa kanye nempahla nazo zifike ngaphansi kwamaphuzu angama-50 angathathi hlangothi. , ngokuvumelana nesithombe esiphumayo esibuthakathaka.”
FUNDA FUTHI: I-Absa PMI ikhombisa ukukhula kwebhizinisi naphezu kokucisha kukagesi
Futhi alikho ithemba ngekusasa
UMaluleke uthi kube nezindaba ezimbi kakhulu zokwehla okukhulu kwenani elilinganisa izimo zebhizinisi ezilindelekile esikhathini esiyizinyanga eziyisithupha.
Ukuzethemba kwebhizinisi kwehle kwafinyelela kumaphuzu angama-46.8 ngoFebhuwari, okuyizinga eliphansi kakhulu kusukela ngoMeyi 2020 okusho ukuthi abaphendulile bebengakabi naso lesi simo esibi mayelana nezimo ezizayo njengoba izwe beliphuma kancane esigabeni esiqinile sokuvalwa kwe-Covid.
Inkomba yentengo yokuthenga nayo inyuke kakhulu ngenyanga yesibili ukuze ifinyelele ezingeni eliphezulu kakhulu kusukela ngoSepthemba 2022. Ucwaningo lwenzeka ngesikhathi irandi lalintekenteke kakhulu uma liqhathaniswa nedola laseMelika, ikakhulukazi lihweba ngaphezu kuka-R18 edoleni.
“Lokhu ngabe kudlulele ezindlekweni zezinto ezingavuthiwe ikakhulukazi ezivela kwamanye amazwe kanye nezimpahla eziphakathi nendawo. Ukwanda kwenkomba yentengo ye-PMI kuphakamisa ukuthi singabona ukusheshisa okuvuselelwe kuzintengo zesango lemboni. Sekushiwo lokho, inkomba ihlala ingaphansi kwenani eliphakeme elifinyelelwe ezinyangeni zokuqala zika-2022. ”
I-Bureau for Economic Research (BER) eNyuvesi yaseStellenbosch ihlanganise inkomba ebalwa njengesilinganiso esilinganiselwe somsebenzi webhizinisi (0.20), ama-oda amasha (0.20), ukuqashwa (0.20), ukulethwa kwabahlinzeki (0.20) kanye ne-inventories (0.20). I-inverse ye-supplier deliveries index isetshenziswa ekubalweni kwe-PMI.
FUNDA FUTHI: I-PMI izokhuphuka ngoDisemba, kodwa umsebenzi we-SA webhizinisi uba mubi nakakhulu
Ukucishwa kukagesi okukhulu okumele kubekwe icala
Iqembu locwaningo lwezomnotho, i-Oxford Economics Africa, lithi ukukhiqizwa kwe-PMI kwehle kakhulu ngoFebhuwari kunalokho ebekulindelwe, kodwa ukwehla kwakamuva kungabangelwa yizinga elishubile lokucinywa kukagesi kuze kube manje kulo nyaka.
“Inani lemisebenzi yebhizinisi lehle kakhulu, kwathi ukuthengiswa kwezitolo kwehlile ngoFebhuwari. Sekushiwo lokho, ukuthengiswa kwamanye amazwe kukhuphuke kwafika ezingeni elingcono kakhulu ngonyaka. Inkomba yentengo yokuthenga ithumele okunye ukwenyuka okukhulu, okubonisa ukwanda okungenzeka kwengcindezi yamanani.”
Isihloko se-PMI sokwehla ngaphansi kwamaphuzu angama-50 angathathi hlangothi, okokuqala ngqa kusukela ngoSepthemba 2022, sikhomba ukuwohloka okukhulu kwezimo zebhizinisi emkhakheni wezimboni waseNingizimu Afrika, kusho leli qembu.
Inkomba yemisebenzi yebhizinisi (45.5) yehle yangena endaweni enezinkontileka kuyilapho inkomba yama-oda amasha okuthengisa ishintshile kancane yaba ngu-49.4 ngoFebhuwari.
“Ngenkathi ama-oda amasha okuthengisa elokhu ephansi ngoFebhuwari, ukuthengiswa kwamanye amazwe kukhuphuke kwafika ezingeni eliphezulu kakhulu ngonyaka, okubonisa ukuthi abakhiqizi basekhaya kungenzeka babe nenyanga enzima. Khonamanjalo, inkomba yokuqashwa ingene yajula endaweni enciphayo ngoFebhuwari, njengoba ukukhula komnotho okuntekenteke waseNingizimu Afrika kubi kakhulu ekukhuleni kwamathuba omsebenzi esikhathini esizayo,” kusho leli qembu.
Inkomba ye-inventories (46.5) yehle yabuyela ngaphansi kwamaphuzu angama-50 angathathi hlangothi ngoFebhuwari, kuyilapho inkomba yentengo yokuthenga yenyuke phezulu enyangeni yesibili ilandelana yafinyelela ku-78.6 – izinga eliphakeme kakhulu kusukela ngoSepthemba 2022.
FUNDA FUTHI: Ukuthuthukiswa komsebenzi webhizinisi nama-oda amasha okuthengisa ku-PMI
Izintengo zefekthri zisethwe ukuthi zikhuphuke
Iqembu lithi ukunyuka kwakamuva kwenkomba yentengo ye-PMI kuphakamisa ukuthi ukusheshisa okuvuselelwe kwamanani esango lefekthri kungase kube emakhadini. Kodwa-ke, inkomba isalokhu ingaphansi kwamazinga aphezulu ka-2022 futhi ngemuva kokuthola isilinganiso esingu-14.4% ngo-2022, ibikezela ukwehla kwamandla emali kwe-PPI ku-avareji engu-7.4% kulo nyaka.
“Isikhathi socwaningo lwangoFebhuwari besihlanganisa ukucishwa kukagesi okungakaze kubonwe kusiteji 6, kanye nezinga lokushintshisana ngerandi elintekenteke ngaleyo nyanga, okungenzeka ukuthi kwaba yimqoka kwabaphendula abaningi. Ngenxa yalokho, inkomba ekala izimo zebhizinisi ezilindelekile esikhathini esiyizinyanga eziyisithupha yehle yafinyelela ku-46.8 ngoFebhuwari, okuyizinga eliphansi kakhulu kusukela ngoMeyi 2020.”
Iqembu liphawule ukubhuka kwalo mayelana nokusimama kwentuthuko emfushane nengalindelekile ye-PMI ekuqaleni kuka-2023.
“Izimpawu zakamuva zokusimama komnotho womhlaba zikhombisa okuhle kubahwebi baseNingizimu Afrika, kodwa lokhu kuphikisana nezinto ezehlukene zasekhaya, okuhlanganisa ubugebengu obuhleliwe, ukuphela kukagesi kanye nokuphelelwa yisikhathi ngenxa yokungasebenzi kahle kwaTransnet ongaphansi kukahulumeni.”
