Riaan 
CNN
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Sibheke okhethweni lukamongameli oluzayo, ukuhlaziya ukuvota kwe-CNN kukhombisa ukuthi amaRiphabhulikhi abuyele embonweni kazwelonke omubi kakhulu abenawo ngaphambi kokunqoba kukaDonald Trump njengomongameli ngo-2016. Baphinde baqiniseka ukuthi izwe liyawohloka, futhi bavame ukuzivikela ngokumelene nezibalo zabantu. kanye nezinguquko zamasiko emphakathini wase-US.
Kunhlolovo kwenziwe ngasekupheleni kwehlobo lika-2016, kulandela ukuqokwa kukaTrump, cishe uhhafu wamaRiphabhulikhi nabazimele abancike kuRiphabhulikhi (49%) bathe izinsuku ezingcono kakhulu zaseMelika zisemuva kwethu. Futhi nakuba iningi lithe libheka ukwanda kwezwe okunothisayo, ama-37% athi anomuzwa wokuthi ukwanda kwenani labantu bezinhlanga eziningi ezahlukene, izinhlanga nezizwe e-US, kunalokho, kusongela isiko laseMelika.
Eminyakeni emithathu kamuva, ngesikhathi sobumongameli bukaTrump, yi-18% kuphela yeqembu elathi isizwe sesidlulile ezinsukwini zaso eziphezulu, nokubukeka kwezinhlobonhlobo ezifanayo ezingama-20% njengosongo lwamasiko.
Kusukela lapho, i-GOP iye yahlehlisa inkambo, yancipha kakhulu futhi yaphelelwa ithemba nakakhulu. Ku Ukuvota kwakamuva kwe-CNN, ekhishwe kuleli sonto, isabelo sabantu abadala abahambisana neRiphabhulikhi abathi izinsuku ezihamba phambili zezwe seziphelile senyuke safinyelela ku-70%, kuyilapho iphesenti elithi isiko laseMelika lisongelwa ngokwanda kwezinhlanga nezinhlanga liphinde lafinyelela ku-38%. Embuzweni ongabuzwanga ngo-2019, iningi labantu baseMelika abangama-78% abahambisana neRiphabhlikhi nalo lithi izindinganiso zomphakathi mayelana nokuthambekela kobulili kanye nobunikazi bobulili ziyashintsha ziba zimbi.
Ukushintsha kwesimo seqembu kule minyaka emine edlule kwenzeke emigqeni yezibalo zabantu. Phakathi kuka-2019 no-2023, inkolelo yokuthi izinsuku ezihamba phambili zezwe zisemuva kwayo inyuke ngamaphesenti angaphezu kwangu-40 phakathi kweminyaka yobudala, imfundo kanye nemigqa yobulili. Ukwengeza, isabelo esicabangela ukuhlukahluka njengosongo sikhuphuke ngamadijithi aphindwe kabili eqenjini ngalinye. Lokho kungase kuphakamise ukuthi ngezinye izikhathi imiphumela ayimeleli izinkolelo ezijulile njengokusabela esimweni samanje sezombusazwe, okuhlanganisa neqembu eliphethe isikhundla sikamongameli.
Kepha inhlolovo iphinde ithole ukuthi amaRiphabhulikhi kanye namaRepublicans abakabumbene ngokuphelele emibonweni yabo, nenqwaba yezici ezihlobene zezepolitiki, zabantu kanye nezenhlalo-mnotho ezihlukanisayo.
Esinye sezikhala eziphikelela kakhulu sivela emigqeni yezemfundo, kanti abaphothule ekolishi elihambisana neRiphabhulikhi mancane amathuba okuthi kunalabo abangenazo iziqu bathande uhulumeni osebenzayo, bathi izinsuku ezihamba phambili zezwe sezidlulile noma ukubheka ukwanda kwezwe okusabisayo – yize womabili amaqembu ehlanganyela. imibono engemihle ngokufanayo mayelana nokushintsha izindinganiso mayelana nobulili nobulili.
Iminyaka yobudala nayo idlala indima, njengoba kwenza ubulili nohlanga: Labo abangaphansi kweminyaka engama-45 mancane amathuba okuba kunabantu abadala abize ukwehlukana kwezinhlanga njengosongo noma bathi izindinganiso zobunikazi bobulili nokuthambekela kobulili ziyashintsha zibe zimbi kakhulu, ngokuhlukana okufanayo phakathi kwe-GOP. abesifazane nabesilisa, naphakathi kwabaMhlophe nabantu bebala abahambisana neqembu.
Umehluko phakathi kwe-GOP uvame ukukhuliswa lapho izibalo zabantu zihlangana. Cishe uhhafu (51%) wabantu abadala abahambisana neRiphabhulikhi abaneminyaka engu-45 noma ngaphezulu abangenazo iziqu zasekolishi bathi babheka ukwehlukahlukana okwenyuka kwezwe njengokusongelayo, umbono owabiwe ngumuntu oyedwa kwabathathu noma abambalwa ngaphakathi kwanoma iyiphi enye inhlanganisela yobudala nemfundo. Futhi, ngaphakathi kwe-GOP, ama-54% amaningi abesilisa, amaKristu evangeli eliMhlophe athola ukwehluka okunjalo kusongela, umbono ongahlanganyeli ngozakwabo besifazane abaningi, noma iningi lalabo bezinye inhlanganisela yezizinda zobuhlanga nezenkolo.
Ukunganeliseki kwamaRiphabhulikhi ngendlela i-US eshintsha ngayo ubudlelwano ibe imibono yefa likaTrump. Kunhlolovo yakamuva, iningi lama-57% labantu abadala abangamalungu eRiphabhulikhi ababiza ukwehlukana kwezinhlanga kusabisa futhi bathi kubalulekile ukuthi ozoqokwa kwi-GOP olandelayo abuyisele izinqubomgomo zokuphatha kukaTrump. Kanjalo cishe uhhafu walabo abathi izindinganiso ngobulili nobulili ziyashintsha ziba kubi (49%) noma abanomuzwa wokuthi izinsuku ezingcono kakhulu zesizwe sezifikile zedlula (46%) – esimweni ngasinye, inani eliphakeme kakhulu kunalabo ungabelani ngaleyo mibono. Inkolelo yokuthi uTrump ube nomthelela omuhle ku-Republican Party, okwamanje, iphezulu ngamaphesenti angu-14 kulabo abathi i-US ifinyelele phezulu kunalabo abathi izinsuku zayo ezinhle kakhulu ziseza.
Okungacaci kahle ukuthi ngabe leyo mibono izogqugquzela ukusekelwa kukaTrump nomkhankaso wakhe, ikakhulukazi izimbangi ezigabadelayo njengoHulumeni waseFlorida uRon DeSantis naye akha imiyalezo ngezindikimba ezifanayo. Kulesi sigaba sokuqala somkhankaso, amaRiphabhulikhi namaRiphabhulikhi azimele athi izinsuku ezihamba phambili zase-US sezidlulile cishe cishe bazosho ukuthi bangaba nomdlandla wokuqokwa kweDeSantis njengoba bezosho okufanayo ngoTrump. Ngokuqhathaniswa bambalwa njengamanje abazwakalisa injabulo efanayo ngowayeyinxusa le-UN u-Nikki Haley, owayeyiPhini Likamongameli uMike Pence, noma owayenguNobhala Wezwe uMike Pompeo.
Futhi kusesekuseni kakhulu ukuthi ungasho ukuthi abavoti abaphambili be-GOP bangonyaka ozayo bazobukeka kanjani. Lokho kuyisici esibalulekile, uma kucatshangelwa ukwehlukana kwabantu okungaba khona kokubili amaRiphabhulikhi ayesesekayo nokuthi kungenzeka kanjani ukuthi bavote. Abavoti abadala nabafunde kakhulu basemathubeni amaningi okuthi baphume. Ukuphuma ekuvoteni kuphakamisa ukuthi emijikelezweni edlule, abavoti abadala nabafundile kakhulu bavame ukuphuma ngokungafani. Kuze kube manje kusukela ekuqaleni kokuvota, kunzima ukusho ukuthi ubani ongavela, kodwa kokubili izibalo zabantu kanye nokuthandwa kwezombusazwe kungase kube neqhaza ekunqumeni amazinga okuqala omdlandla okuya esikhathini sokhetho. Kunhlolovo yakamuva ye-CNN, amaRiphabhulikhi namaRiphabhulikhi angaphezu kweminyaka engama-45 abeseka uTrump maningi amathuba okuthi babike intshiseko enkulu ngokubamba iqhaza kumaprimaries angonyaka ozayo kunalabo abaneminyaka engaphezu kwengama-45 abakhetha ikhandidethi elihlukile, noma amaRiphabhulikhi amancane namaRepublicans kungakhathaliseki ukuthi bathini. ikhandidethi bayambuyisela emuva.
Inhlolovo ye-CNN yenziwa yi-SSRS kusukela ngoMashi 8-12 phakathi kwesampula kazwelonke engahleliwe yabantu abangu-1,045 abazazisayo baseRiphabhulikhi nabazimele abancike eRiphabhulikhi abathathwe kuphaneli esekelwe emathubeni. Uhlolovo lwenziwa ku-inthanethi noma ngocingo nomuntu oxoxisana naye bukhoma. Imiphumela phakathi kwesampula egcwele inomkhawulo wephutha lesampula lokuhlanganisa noma lokususa amaphoyinti angu-3.8, inkulu kumaqembu amancane.
Le ndaba ibuyekeziwe ngolwazi olwengeziwe.
